During his presentation from at Atlantic Council in Washington - "EU's Eastern Partnership: the Vilnius Summit and Beyond" Slovak Deputy Prime Minister and Minister of Foreign and European Affairs Miroslav Lajčák, said:
"I see no consensus on the part of the EU member states to vote for the Association Agreement with Ukraine unless she [Tymoshenko] is out of prison" [38 minutes into the video at the link above.]
Taras Chornovil, someone always worth listening to, reckons the chance of success for Ukraine's successful signing of the AA in Vilnius is currently less than 25%..this would naturally drop if no clear resolution is found in parliament on Thursday to the problem of formulating a law allowing Tymoshenko to be released for treatment to Germany.
The tone and body language of the political 'talking heads' in the media tend to give the impression that they just hope, rather more than expect the EU will give way on the Tymo issue..
If they watched the presentation above by the impressive speaker, they would see the EU has many other serious problems to sort out apart from Ukraine..Failure to sign up Ukraine would not be such a big deal...