By the way, by saying I thought a deal between Our Ukraine and Party of the regions would end Yuschenko and Our Ukraine, I didn't mean to suggest that it wouldn't happen. That it might not be in Yuschenko's or Our Ukraine's long-term interests is no way guarantees that it won't happen. It just might. They might damn the consequences and go ahead with it anyway. Push the button and see which buildings come down. (Or light the match and watch the firetrucks show up, whichever you prefer.) And they might just say that any improvement in the economy or in the country that might come from it would make people forget.
The irony is that a PR-NSNU coalition would be a lot more stable coalition. My problem with it is that I don't see that anything would change with that. The Donetsk clans would have access to the central power again and would do what they have done in the past. That Akhmetov might be interested in turning westward to be considered credible for business reasons doesn't sway me much at all. That is the "it's not in his self-interest argument" that is used an awful lot to predict what people will do or won't do. The question really should be, as I have said before, what Akhmetov sees as his interests not what I determine those interests to be. That is the real issue and it is a subjective issue.
Tymoshenko was just on the TV saying that if there is a deal between NSNU and PR, she will be in the opposition, 100% guaranteed. That isn't surprising. The problem with a coalition between her and NSNU is that it will be highly unstable for the reasons I posted yesterday.
But there is a real problem out there that Yuschenko and company haven't really addressed all that well and that Tymoshenko may not be positioned to address all that well. It is how they legitimize the people's of the east. They are citizen's too and their votes need to be respected in some way. By rejecting PR, you reject those Ukrainian citizens who voted for it. It also looks like a rejection of the east. That is not a good idea. They must have a stake in the government too. It would be a good idea--it has always been a good idea--to bring them in in some way.
But this all is what makes Ukrainian politics so interesting as LEvko said in an email to me today. And that is the absolute truth.